As political dynamics in Osun State continue to evolve, all eyes are on Rauf Aregbesola, the former governor and key political figure, who has been instrumental in shaping the state’s governance landscape. With the 2026 gubernatorial election fast approaching, speculation is rife over what role Aregbesola will play in the future of Osun politics. His next move could prove pivotal in determining the direction of the state in the years ahead.
Having served as governor from 2010 to 2018, Aregbesola’s influence remains significant within the political corridors of Osun. Known for his bold reforms in education, infrastructure, and civil service, Aregbesola left an indelible mark on the state, yet his tenure was also marked by controversies and political battles, especially with his successor, Governor Ademola Adeleke. The ongoing political rivalry between Aregbesola’s faction and the Adeleke-led administration has only added to the uncertainty surrounding the 2026 election.
Aregbesola’s political base, which spans across various regions of Osun, remains strong. His next move could either bolster or disrupt the current power balance between the ruling People's Democratic Party (PDP) and the opposition All Progressives Congress (APC). With his support base largely in the APC, a shift in allegiance or endorsement of a candidate could spark a significant realignment of forces in the state.
As the APC’s influence in Osun faces a crucial test in the 2026 gubernatorial race, Aregbesola’s potential support for a candidate could determine the outcome. His endorsement of a particular faction or individual could provide a crucial advantage, while a lack of involvement might leave the APC fragmented in its bid to reclaim the state.
Aregbesola’s relationship with the current leadership in Osun, particularly with Governor Adeleke, has been a subject of political tension. The next move by Aregbesola could either heal or deepen this divide. Should he choose to support the APC’s candidate, it would solidify his influence within the party, further marginalizing any political ambitions of those opposed to his ideology.